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Tuesday 31 March 2020

Corona virus death rates per million by country 31-03-2020

The virus continues apace. Here's the latest as of 31-03-2020 at 13:15 UK time.


Italy has suffered 192 deaths per million people, with Spain next on 157. 

It's approaching 2 weeks ago that the UK introduced social distancing measures but no obvious sign that the death rate has been affected.

On the 23rd March, if what I said is true about the UK being 2 weeks behind Italy, we should expect the UK to reach 67 deaths per million on the 6th April. Currently the UK is at 21 per million with doubling happening every 3 days or so. Anything significantly below 67 would be evidence that social distancing and lock down is working.

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